File photo of vehicles moving through sudden rain in New Delhi on February 20, 2011.UNI PHOTO
File photo of vehicles moving through sudden rain in New Delhi on February 20, 2011.UNI PHOTO
National

IMD forecasts normal south-west monsoon for India this year

NetIndian News Network

New Delhi, April 19, 2011

The India Meteorological Department (IMD) today forecast a normal south-west monsoon for the country in 2011.

"IMD's long range forecast for the 2011 south-west monsoon season (June to September) is that the rainfall for the country as a whole is most likely to be normal (96-104% of Long Period Average (LPA))," the forecast, released by Union Minister for Science and Technology and Earth Science Pawan Kumar Bansal at a press conference here, said.

"There is very low probability for season rainfall to be deficient (below 90% of LPA) or excess (above 110% of the LPA)," it said.

According to IMD, quantitatively, the monsoon season rainfall was likely to be 98% of the LPA with a model error of ± 5%.

The LPA of the season rainfall over the country as a whole for the period 1951-2000 is 89 cm, it said.

IMD will update the forecast in June as a part of the second stage forecast. Along with the update forecast, separate forecasts for the monthly (July and August) rainfall over the country as a whole and seasonal (June-September) rainfall over the four geographical regions of India will also be issued.

Forecast for the rainfall over the country as a whole during the second of the season (August + September) will be issued in July and that for September will be issued in August.

NNN

NetIndian
www.netindian.in